Basketball Poetry

Basketball Poetry

Who are the best NBA dunkers? Who are the "worst" dunkers?

Put differently: what the heck is happening in Chicago?

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Mike Shearer
Jul 30, 2024
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Kevin Durant famously once said, “NBA fans don’t like anything about the NBA,” and if you’re online as much as I am, it can definitely feel that way at times.

But there’s one thing that everyone loves: dunks.

Basketball’s most iconic play is simply a player jumping up and pushing the ball through the hoop from above. It’s not complicated, but it is beautiful. Whether it’s someone cocking the ball back to their knees…

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…or a yam so explosive that both dunker and dunkee become collateral damage in the relentless pursuit of artistic perfection…

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…there is no more exciting play to watch.

You know what else is exciting? Numbers and graphs! So I’m here to deep-dive the dunk.

Per data I compiled from Basketball-Reference and the league’s play-by-play data, the league made 11,595 dunks last year and only missed 1,425. That’s a conversion rate of 89.1% — far better than the expected value on free throws, three-pointers, or anything else you can name. That means that the dunk is both the coolest and most effective shot in basketball.

Let’s break it down further. One caveat: this data does not include misses resulting in a foul, as there aren’t good ways to distinguish between layups and dunks that result in fouls. Made dunks drawing an and-one are included. So keep that in mind.

First, who tried to dunk the most? The leaders will not surprise you:

Water pistol to your head, you probably would have guessed that Giannis Antetokounmpo and Rudy Gobert were the two most prolific dunkers both on a per-game and an absolute basis. Still, the gap between them and third-place Dereck Lively is astonishing. Thanks primarily to the minutes gap between the players, they’re averaging nearly one more dunk per game than Lively!

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39-year-old LeBron James comes in as the 30th-most prolific dunker in absolute terms. I once did a whole analysis on the dunking aging curve, and my conclusion was that the majority of players dunk the most (as a percentage of their shots) as rookies, and most of the remaining players dunk the most in their second or third years. James, naturally, was an outlier:

That chart ended before the most recent season, but his 7.1% dunk attempt rate this year (as a percentage of total field goal attempts) was his highest number since the 2018-19 season. It’s remarkable how steady he remains.

Speaking of dunk rate, who is dunking the most as a percentage of their field goals?

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